tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post3026365739920900229..comments2024-02-19T11:10:16.893-08:00Comments on Brown Moses Blog: Syria's Sarin Attacks - Grasping At 140mm Straws (And Why Size Matters)Brown Moseshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17562126209980810351noreply@blogger.comBlogger17125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-91659920581633082212013-10-02T17:13:40.066-07:002013-10-02T17:13:40.066-07:00"I think it's pretty clear the M14 inspec..."I think it's pretty clear the M14 inspected by the UN was shot by SAA."<br /><br />Why? Are there any videos of the SAA using the system? If there are no videos of the insurgents using them, maybe same deal with the regime's official army.<br /><br />What are the Russian soldiers who are fighting in Syria using? It is not just the opposition that has lots of tourists helping or making things worse.Greighttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02024997380441749707noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-54068633302084855202013-09-22T21:44:48.375-07:002013-09-22T21:44:48.375-07:00Reply to Khalid: Review sources and then consider ...Reply to Khalid: Review sources and then consider your claim. It's entirely erroneous. M14s were very widely used - primarily with explosive and incendiary warheads, and also with a chemical weapons warhead - the data is openly available. They were the mainstay of the BM-14 multiple rocket launcher platform. They were manufactured en masse by Soviet Union and distributed widely as part of the package - BUT NOT with chemical weapons warheads. Those Russia kept for itself. Libya, for instance, retained a significant stock of M14s in its arsenal until the end. It appears, however, according to Wikipedia sources, that both BM-14 and M14 munitions had been phased out by the Syrian military, to be replaced with the newer, modern platform 122 mm BM-21 Grad. It is questionable whether the SAA would have any M14s at all, let alone ones with chemical warheads, in its arsenal.Gleb Bazovhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02003842490417903530noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-8885609691380699242013-09-21T10:36:59.870-07:002013-09-21T10:36:59.870-07:00I am very disappointed by HRW's work in Syria....I am very disappointed by HRW's work in Syria. The language of the opposition in Syria is reminiscent of the Hutu use of “cockroach” to describe Tutsis prior to the genocide.<br /><br />The insurgent attack at Jobar was like something out of the crusades, with some of the Arab media urging on the opposition assault from Jobar toward Abbassiyiin Square and the terrified Christians begging 'their' army to hold firm.<br /><br />This is important, because the circumstances for genocide are being actively sought by the insurgents, the first mention of poisoning, in fact the only mention of it, came from the insurgents.<br /><br />A replay of pre-Assad Aleppo when thugs drove through the city shouting “Ya Arman maskiin, tahat as-skiin!”. The battle at Homs was a sectarian headhunt. Greighttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02024997380441749707noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-58990897585910023532013-09-21T09:39:30.636-07:002013-09-21T09:39:30.636-07:00The insurgents will have captured anything the reg...The insurgents will have captured anything the regime is using down range. <br /><br />Armenian soldiers for e.g. who can see Islamists approaching are more likely to decommission themselves rather than the equipment. I don't think Alawites have it much better. <br /><br />It is the Syrian army that may have difficulty getting hold of obsolete weapons, not the insurgents. It is not easy to issue material that officially does not exist. Greighttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02024997380441749707noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-65575858026380460442013-09-21T09:25:41.398-07:002013-09-21T09:25:41.398-07:00Would President Assad be able to truthfully say, h...Would President Assad be able to truthfully say, he's done an audit, and his army do not have any 140mm rocket weapons? <br /><br />In Syria, anything the regime has, will be captured by the insurgents. If the insurgents are not using the 140mm could the regime perhaps not be (officially at least) using the 140mm either? It is such a dollar store weapon it is not going to be difficult to capture or find if it exists. Could the 140mm be off the books. Greighttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02024997380441749707noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-41879471405172859072013-09-21T04:07:20.930-07:002013-09-21T04:07:20.930-07:00White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough
US prov...White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough<br />US proven link of Assad gas attack lacking.<br />http://www.nbcnews.com/id/52952904/ns/politics/t/us-proven-link-assad-gas-attack-lacking/<br />(UN Inspectors prohibited from placing blame..)<br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04040922590997695812noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-70988156973374304602013-09-20T23:31:09.757-07:002013-09-20T23:31:09.757-07:00US spending on information operations (propaganda)...US spending on information operations (propaganda)dropped to $202 million last year.Russian military reconnaissance satellites images when handed over to the UN Security Council will no doubt filter out sources of codswallop in particular Human Rights Watch.If the US Government had hard evidence of the Syrian regime being responsible for the chemical attacks around Damascus the evidence would have been viewed by congress and Syria would have been bombed already. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04040922590997695812noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-76826408142368988362013-09-20T12:33:58.104-07:002013-09-20T12:33:58.104-07:00Since the shell was produced in 1967 so it´s compl...Since the shell was produced in 1967 so it´s complitely outdated ammo, 46 years old and out of Assad´s army stocks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-30050389746511942013-09-20T01:36:49.095-07:002013-09-20T01:36:49.095-07:00M14s are not widely stocked or used. They are a s...M14s are not widely stocked or used. They are a special purpose weapon saved for special occasions. I doubt any of Assad's regular bases would carry it.Khalidhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11093823702752534075noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-53154487952571388102013-09-19T04:03:39.718-07:002013-09-19T04:03:39.718-07:00Bruce_R,
The report says "in and around this...Bruce_R,<br /><br />The report says "in and around this building". Given how weak the sarin markers were compared to the vicinity of the UMLACA , the connection between the M14 and chemicals is very weak.<br /><br />For the UMLACA we have dozens of associations with chemical attacks. For the M14 we have just one, which is very weak. If the M14 was used for CW, we should have found much more evidence.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16560859391032391947noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-15892728324143774692013-09-18T19:54:10.753-07:002013-09-18T19:54:10.753-07:00Sasa, you're discounting the testimony the UN ...Sasa, you're discounting the testimony the UN team received that the people living in the house where that rocket motor was found died of chemical injuries on Aug. 21. Not saying that necessarily needs to be taken as gospel truth, but an identifiable part of an expended chemical-capable munition, with chemical markers found all around it, in a house where people allegedly died from a chemical attack, is still at least potentially relevant to the question at hand.Bruce_Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12472924925251707163noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-74015775963453618422013-09-18T19:53:40.336-07:002013-09-18T19:53:40.336-07:00Sasa, you're discounting the testimony the UN ...Sasa, you're discounting the testimony the UN team received that the people living in the house where that rocket motor was found died of chemical injuries on Aug. 21. Not saying that necessarily needs to be taken as gospel truth, but an identifiable part of an expended chemical-capable munition, with chemical markers found all around it, in a house where people allegedly died from a chemical attack, is still at least potentially relevant to the question at hand.Bruce_Rhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12472924925251707163noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-60111117222712903422013-09-18T15:00:19.795-07:002013-09-18T15:00:19.795-07:00Ref; Video: Assessing Syrian Chemical Weapons Use....Ref; Video: Assessing Syrian Chemical Weapons Use. Well that didn't take to long, good info. Even a blind squirrel(me)finds an acorn once in awhile. Hint, there are more little bits of info in these blogs that will point you in the right direction. <br />My very first post on BM blogs - "Quote: Also the photos/videos certainly appear to be of a M14 rocket motor. The marking should tell the tail on the rocket motor maybe all the way to what ammunition plant manufactured it. Quote"<br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01718716337874488769noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-32823496801884243462013-09-18T13:01:11.429-07:002013-09-18T13:01:11.429-07:00It must be remembered at all times that the Russia...It must be remembered at all times that the Russian government has a budget for not just misinformation, but a related tactic of trying to drown the opposition in torrents of utter codswallop.<br /><br />Firing M14 rockets off stones makes them go somewhere or other, but I'd want something a lot more predictable for a sarin strike. The Taliban do this, but they usually have a timer on the firing circuit and are safely over the hills and miles away before the rockets fire. The object is to make the enemy shoot back and waste ammunition, it's a considerable bonus if any hits are obtained. Medawarhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05119173935699236303noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-66285223437577141752013-09-18T05:51:18.038-07:002013-09-18T05:51:18.038-07:00The NYT article picks up the analysis from HRW:
h...The NYT article picks up the analysis from HRW: <br />http://www.hrw.org/news/2013/09/17/dispatches-mapping-sarin-flight-pathDavidPhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05080921060506668042noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-90493940416674159802013-09-18T05:28:21.765-07:002013-09-18T05:28:21.765-07:00The opposition don't need launchers to fire M1...The opposition don't need launchers to fire M14 rockets. A stone or breezeblock is more than enough. However 30 minutes with a welder and some angle-iron would provide a much more useful launcher.<br /><br />Given the amount of ordnance the opposition have captured it would be highly highly unlikely they don't have any of the M14 rockets.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4871088750473093560.post-75006655389220392512013-09-18T05:11:38.824-07:002013-09-18T05:11:38.824-07:00I think it's pretty clear the M14 inspected by...I think it's pretty clear the M14 inspected by the UN was shot by SAA. It's just that it has no reliable links to chemicals. The UN report shows huge differences between the sarin markers found in the vicinity of the M14 and those found near the UMLACA. The report also gives a great explanation why the rocket body was found intact.<br />The fact that the M14 has an optional chemical warhead is meaningless as it was the standard for artillery from that period.<br />I think we should all stop associating the M14 with chemical attacks until we find at least another rocket body in a suspect location.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16560859391032391947noreply@blogger.com