Monday, 10 December 2012

Something Everyone Should Know About SA-24 MANPADS

A number of people have sent me this video, which claims to show a complete SA-24/9K338 Igla-S MANPADS


The SA-24 is one of the most advanced shoulder fired surface-to-air missiles in the world, so capturing complete systems would be a massive boon to the rebels, but in this example there's actually nothing much to get excited about.  What we are seeing here is a training model, and how do we know that?  First of all the entire system is painted silver, indicating it's a training version, but even if a Syrian soldier had got carried away with some silver paint on a working model we also have this rather important word written on the missile tube and grip-stock:

 

Steve Zaloga, editor of Teal Group’s “World Missiles and UAV Briefing” explained the meaning of the word:
The Russian word Maket is borrowed from the French (maquette) and means “Model” rather than mock-up. Maket is painted on Russian training weapons so that troops don’t confuse them with the real thing.
This hasn't stopped some opposition groups waving them around like they could actually do any damage, for example the Islam Brigade


The fact is the only way these "Maket" SA-24s will ever damage a helicopter is if someone uses it as a club to hit a helicopter while it's still on the ground.

Related articles
Sky News Arabic Misidentifies Weapons As SA-24 MANPADS
New Type Of Shoulder Mounted Surface To Air Missile Captured By The Opposition  
Video Shows Captured SA-16 And SA-24 Surface To Air Missiles
The Trigger - The MANPADS presence in the Syrian conflict mapped
NYT At War - Heat-Seeking Missiles in Syria: The SA-7 in Action with Rebels
Youtube Playlist MANPADS Sightings In Syria

You can contact the author on Twitter @brown_moses or by email at brownmoses@gmail.com

Sunday, 9 December 2012

New Images Show Naval Mines Dropped On Dry Land In Syria

Some rather unusual videos and images of a newly recorded weapon reportedly dropped from a helicopter in Daraya have emerged today


I believe what we are seeing here is a naval mine, and it seems to have certain similarities with the SADAF-02 mine, a damage example of which is pictured here


However currently I don't have a solid 100% match in mind, so any suggestions are welcome.

The question is why are the Syrian air force now dropping naval mines on dry ground?  Having used ADIEDs are they now looking for more ways to deliver more explosives with their multi-purpose Hip helicopters?

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How to Build an Army in Your Basement - Even More DIY Weapons
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Clear Evidence Of DIY Barrel Bombs Being Used By The Syrian Air Force
Unexploded Cluster Bomblets Repurposed As DIY Rocket Warheads

Improving Syrian Oppositon Armaments Demonstrated During The Taftanaz Airbase Attack
Clear Evidence Of DIY Barrel Bombs Being Used By The Syrian Air Force  

You can contact the author on Twitter @brown_moses or by email at brownmoses@gmail.com


Wednesday, 5 December 2012

Hackgate - Varec Revisited - Dissent In The Ranks

The latest from my regular contributor.

Operation Varec is a little fuzzy round the edges.  It has its own formal 2010 inception date and terms of reference, but in some senses, it pre-dates that and grew out of John Yates' response to The Guardian article on the News of the World (NOTW) phone hacking, published July 8th 2009. This was Yates' 'Ratner moment' - undertaking a hasty fact-finding, presenting a same day, televised press statement, and later pronouncing on his own actions as "crap".

Lord Justice Leveson took the view that Yates could have, perhaps should have, excused himself from quasi-review of the phone hacking investigation - given his longstanding friendship with former NOTW executive, Neil Wallis.  Yet, even though his premature 'no new evidence, no re-investigation' press announcement was dismissive, should Yates accrue a little more credit?  After all, he didn't just let it drop there.

A series of meetings was convened by Yates over the next few months to establish if there were still skeletons in the closet of that original 2006 Goodman/Mulcaire investigation (Operation Caryatid).  Amongst those attending were DCS Phil Williams and DS Keith Surtees (investigating officers from 2006 operation), Steve Kavanagh (now sucessor to Sue Akers overseeing Operations Weeting, Elveden, Tuleta), DS Dean Haydon (Staff Officer to John Yates) and Sara Cheesley (Specialist Operations Press Desk, MET Directorate of Public Affairs).  The minutes of many of these are included as Exhibits to John Yates evidence to the Leveson Inquiry.  They seem characterised by a hyper-defensive mindset and a focus on presentational issues rather than evaluating the 2006 investigation.  Much effort was dedicated to developing responses to criticism of the Met from victims, government departments and Select Committee - reputational risk priortised perhaps at the expense of a more rigourous scrutiny of Operation Caryatid.  There is extensive background here in Sara Cheesley's witness statement to the Leveson Inquiry.

Recently, insights into those meetings have emerged which show a distinct lack of agreement on what action was needed - dissent in the ranks.  Tom Watson MP (3rd Dec 2012) raised this issue in the House of Commons:
May I draw his attention to a very late submission to the Leveson inquiry from Detective Chief Superintendent Surtees, which appeared on the (Leveson) website this week? He states that in July 2009, he argued internally that there was enough intelligence to warrant reopening the investigation into phone hacking. The hon. Gentleman will know that at no point was that raised with the Culture, Media and Sport Committee during its inquiry. That might be something that he and the Committee want to look at.  
Surtees 2nd Leveson witness statement (here) clearly spells out his trenchant view that the phone-hacking Investigation SHOULD be re-opened.  He says that he also suggested that Her Majesty's Inspectorate of Constabulary (HMIC) be called in.

Surtees assertions are echoed by Phil Williams (here).

Both submissions appear to be tardy attempts to mitigate criticism of the investigating officers contained in the Leveson Report. Presumably, these MET-sanctioned statements were prompted by Section 13 letters.

On 1st September 2010, the New York Times published their exposé ' Tabloid Hack Attack on Royals, and Beyond'.  On the face of it, the article included new information, new informants, and new victims of phone hacking - including Andy Coulson who was then Director of Communications at 10 Downing Street.  Obviously, a disinterested and objective consideration of NOTW phone-hacking was again necessary.  This was a crucial point at which John Yates had another chance to step back, recuse himself, and request that the Commissioner task a different senior officer team without the baggage and closeness to NOTW.  However, Yates chose to have oversight of the new enquiries - Operation Varec - himself.  His own Staff Officer, Dean Haydon, was appointed Senior Investigating Officer (SIO).  Haydon had been closely associated with the 2009 scrutiny as a member (and minutes taker) of the Gold group meetings.

Started formally on 2nd September 2010, Varec's primary objective was
To assess whether allegations being made in the media since 1st September 2010 provided any new evidence of criminal offences, namely unlawful interception of communications, at News of the World, in 2005/6 
It has been alleged that, within ten days of Varec commencing, a senior MET officer contacted NOTW offering to supply information. (Daily Telegraph) The media stories addressed by Operation Varec covered the New York Times story, Guardian follow up, and the Channel 4 Dispatches October 2010 documentary 'Tabloids, Tories and Telephone Hacking'.  When Dean Haydon contacted The Guardian for information, Alan Rusbridger replied in a scathing email
Nick Davies was further able to reveal incontrovertible evidence of the involvement in phone hacking of other NoW reporters and executives: the material is sitting in your own files,... Seeking to obtain evidence from the Guardian should, it seems to us, be a matter of last resort for the police... But the fact that three separate news organizations have been able to uncover this story must give you hope that you, too, could get to the bottom of it without too much trouble   
Twenty one strands of inquiry by Operation Varec were followed, including:
  • Asking the New York Times to supply names of their anonymous sources.  They declined.
  • Interviewing ex-NOTW's Sean Hoare.  Contraversially, he was interviewed under caution and so refused to answer any questions. Another ex-NOTW journalist simply refused to speak with the police - let alone attend an interview.  
  • Other NOTW executives and journalists were questioned about Operation Caryatid and refused to answer, denied any knowledge, or (on legal advice) submitted pre-prepared written statements.
  • Anonymous allegations were received by the MET, implicating three NOTW journalists in phone hacking. Each was written to by Operation Varec requesting information. None of the three responded.
  • Colin Myler, NOTW Editor, was asked to provide a list of journalists still employed since 2006 (in addition to those above).  Myler did so.  Every one of the list of 19 journalists was individually written to by Varec to ask for cooperation and interview.  Not a single one of the 19 even replied.
Unsurprisingly, Operation Varec came to the conclusion that they were unable to obtain any admissible evidence to warrant re-investigating phone- hacking at the News of the World. For details of the 21 investigatory strands, see here.

The genesis of Operation Varec still leaves some key questions unanswered:
  • On the first opportunity to recuse himself from the 2009 quasi-review, why did John Yates not do so?
  • On the second opportunity to recuse himself from the 2010 investigation, Operation Varec, why did John Yates not do so?
  • Given the obduracy, obstructiveness and disregard shown by such a large number of former and serving NOTW journalists, why did the MET continue to collude with News International's thin veneer of cooperating with the police?
Assistant Commissioner Yates resigned on 18th July 2011.

Related Articles
Hackgate - Dacre's Dodgy Dossier - War Of Attrition 
Hackgate - Sue Akers' Swansong
Hackgate - "Newsdesk Here, Kelvin Speaking..."
Hackgate - Andre Baker - A Hackgate Footnote?
Hackgate - Ten To Watch For
Hackgate - Dear Surrey Police


You can contact the author on Twitter @brown_moses or by email at brownmoses@gmail.com

How to Build an Army in Your Basement - Even More DIY Weapons

Recently Foreign Policy published a piece I had written for them on DIY weapons used in the Syrian conflict, How to Build an Army in Your Basement, which demonstrates some of the more common DIY weapons I've come across being used in Syria.  In this post I'll take a look at some of the more unique weapons that I couldn't include in the article, starting first with this remote control bomb


Here we have shells being prepared for a DIY cannon, as well as a video of it being fired


 

This video shows a DIY launcher for S5 rockets, commonly fired from missile pods attached to helicopters (and less commonly rocket pods welded to trucks)


Here's a selection of IEDs designed to destroy "T-82" tanks, which would be an impressive feat indeed, as they don't exist


More remote control weapons, this time a machine gun with it's own video camera targeting system


Here the cannon from a BMP-1 has been mounted onto a truck, possibly preserving the auto-loader system


And here's a somewhat less advance version of the above


And finally we have another DIY weapon used by Assad's force, the IRAM, written about at length by CJ Chivers here




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The DIY Weapons Of The Syrian Opposition
Improving Syrian Oppositon Armaments Demonstrated During The Taftanaz Airbase Attack
Clear Evidence Of DIY Barrel Bombs Being Used By The Syrian Air Force  

You can contact the author on Twitter @brown_moses or by email at brownmoses@gmail.com

Tuesday, 4 December 2012

The Most Heartwarming Cluster Bomb Video You Will Ever See


I don't have much to add to this video, just it's nice to see people in Syria making the most of a bad situation


You can contact the author on Twitter @brown_moses or by email at brownmoses@gmail.com

Are Assad's Forces Using IEDs In Syria?

Here's two videos posted in the last month that may indicate a shift in tactics by the Syrian military in their fight against the Syrian opposition


These videos, filmed in the Deir Ez Zor and Aleppo regions, supposedly show IEDs that have allegedly planted by the Syrian army, not the Syrian opposition, and appear not to be the DIY barrel bombs (which I'll now refer to as ADIEDs, Air Delivered Improvised Explosive Devices) used by the Syrian Air Force.

The men in both videos claim the IEDs were planted by the Syrian Army, and if that's correct it might indicate a shift in tactics by the Syrian Army that mimics the style of fighting used by the Syrian opposition.  From the design of the IEDs in the second video it appears they are designed to attack unarmoured vehicles with a directed blast of shrapnel, which would make them ideal for attacking the unarmoured trucks used widely by the Syrian opposition across the country.

Whether or not this reflects a major shift in tactics remains to be seen, but it's certainly something I'll be keeping a close eye on.


Related Articles
Sky News Arabic Misidentifies Weapons As SA-24 MANPADS
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Video Shows Captured SA-16 And SA-24 Surface To Air Missiles
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You can contact the author on Twitter @brown_moses or by email at brownmoses@gmail.com



Monday, 3 December 2012

Sky News Arabic Misidentifies Weapons As SA-24 MANPADS

A number of people have sent me this video from Sky News Arabic, showing what they claim to be "AS-24 MANPADS", by which I assume they mean SA-24 MANPADS (Man-portable air-defense systems) , describing them as "heat seeking missiles"


Now as followers of my blog will know I'm very interested in videos that show MANPADS, especially SA-24s, the most advanced system used by the Syrian army.  The problem with this video is what they are showing is definitely not a SA-24.  To begin with here's a reference picture of a complete SA-24, plus it's missiles


From the "missiles" shown on the video we can see they don't belong to an SA-24, and weapon itself seems far too thick.  As I highlighted in this post about SA-7s in the hands of the opposition, SA series missile tubes tend to come in pairs in a very particular kind of crate, and the single weapon shown is in the wrong kind of crate.

So what is it?  The projectiles appear to be the same type used by the SPG-9 recoilless gun, and this image gives a fairly clear view of the weapon

Source
In this picture from the Sky News Arabic video we get a show of the weapon from the top and rear end of the barrel


And a close up


This appears to show the black strap and what I believe is the sight of the SPG-9, and in my mind clearly shows this is not an SA-24 as claimed.  SPG-9s are now a fairly common sight in the conflict, in particular in and around Aleppo, so this sighting really isn't very exciting, and an SPG-9 is certainly no threat whatsoever to any aircraft.

It's very important when reporting on weapon sightings in Syria to be sure of what you are actually seeing.  The opposition often misidentifies weapons, be it accidentally through ignorance, or a purposeful attempt to deceive, and we've often seen L-39s described as MiGs, or a whole variety of small arms described as AK-47s.  While this might not seem like a big issue it does confuse matters, and when the opposition gets their hands on a working SA-24 that's very significant, so it pays to be 100% sure.

Related Articles
Evidence Of New Incendiary Bombs Used In Syria
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Clear Evidence Of DIY Barrel Bombs Being Used By The Syrian Air Force
Heavy Weapons And Surface To Air Missiles Captured From The 46th Regiment Base
Video Shows Captured SA-16 And SA-24 Surface To Air Missiles
Unexploded Cluster Bomblets Repurposed As DIY Rocket Warheads

You can contact the author on Twitter @brown_moses or by email at brownmoses@gmail.com